Used Oil Source: Peter Griffin / www.publicdomainpictures.net |
The recent survey that most Americans still favor further
development of alternative energy shows that the renewable energy agenda should
continue. This is not to say that pushing for it must be based from the
decision of the majority alone but I think it is a wise move. The public, the
economy and the environment as well must not be subjected to the ill-effects
brought about by using fossil fuels.
However, the fossil fuel industry is a big business that
employs millions of people worldwide. A sudden shift to a different energy
source will damage the economy. What the government should do is give the
unemployed the chance to work in the alternative energy industries today to
help develop and build the foundations for the widespread use of these
technologies later on. Then, when alternative energy has reached its full
potential and is able to compete with fossil fuels, divert those who are
working in the fossil fuel industry to work in the alternative energy
industries as well. This slow transition would be better than a sudden switch
to renewable energy.
The government is gambling on alternative energy industries to
come up with commercially viable alternative energy sources today in
preparation for the projected peak oil usage in 2020. We all know that if the
peak oil usage happens in 2020, oil prices will go up and, in effect, the
prices of various commodities will rise as well. But the rise in oil prices and
commodities is not that much of a threat because what if we can afford to buy
these commodities in spite of their prices? The more threatening issue here is
that if there is nothing to buy.
Source: PublicDomainPictures |
Recent discoveries about fracking and coal deposits could
give us a sigh of relief. It could lessen the impact of increasing oil prices
and it brings us closer to fuel independence. But we must only see it as a
temporary solution. The problem on greenhouse gas emissions and global warming is
still present and we must employ immediate measures to counteract its effects.
In the 2005 international conference "Avoiding
Dangerous Climate Change: A Scientific Symposium on Stabilisation of Greenhouse
Gases", it is claimed that foregoing efforts to reduce greenhouse gas
emissions by 20 years would mean that we must increase our efforts 3 to 7 folds
by then to prevent the 2 degree centigrade ceiling on global warming. Judging
from these facts, then there is no better time to develop and pursue
alternative energy sources than now.
But what if we delay the development of alternative energy
sources by 4 -5 years to get us a better perspective if the peak oil usage by
2020 would really happen?
If we stop pursuing alternative energy sources and continue
it, let’s say, in 2016 because the predicted peak oil usage by 2020 seems to be
true, there might not be enough time to prepare us for its impacts. Four years
will not be enough to erect infrastructures for alternative fuels to be widely
used. There might not be enough time to market, educate and test the use of
alternative fuels.
Moreover, it would be wiser to spend now, little by little,
to finance the alternative energy sector and minimize the effect of spending on
the economy by spreading it over a much longer time frame than spending a large
amount when the need is imminent. Other countries, particularly Brazil,
have been implementing the use of e100 gasoline for over a decade now and we
are just starting. Isn’t now the right time to push alternative fuel so that we
will not be left behind?
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